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Roland Physicality Report

Game 2: NYK @ BOS | Final Score: NYK 91, BOS 90

Tracking over forty types of contact, aggression, and resilience -- every second of the game.


PHYSICALITY MVP: JOSH HART

When the game turned tense, Josh Hart turned relentless. In the final five minutes of regulation, Hart led all players in RPR (19.0) and delivered 7 clutch-time physicality wins -- more than any Celtic. He had 3 falls, knocked down an opponent, and tallied 14 contact plays.

His full-game metrics were strong (24 wins, 57 physicality points), but it was his late-game physical control -- absorbing contact, initiating chaos, and showing poise under pressure -- that made the difference. While others faded or hesitated, Hart made sure the Knicks' comeback stuck.


Net Physicality Edge by Quarter

Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
BOS +13
NYK +1
BOS +13
BOS +6

This Series Is a Style War
BOSTON plays structured, contact-heavy basketball. They led in physicality tags like screens, effort rebounds, fight-throughs, pushes. BOSTON's physicality wins got them open shots...that missed.

NEW YORK plays personal matchup physicality: absorb, drive into bodies, bump to create space. NEW YORK is making more efficient use of contact moments -- which might explain their 2-0 lead despite losing the raw physical totals.


Full Player Physicality Stats

We track over 40 different forms of physical contact, with both the player initiating and the player receiving the contact. From this we can calculate all kinds of stats, ratings, and nuance. We are still learning about the way these stats influence winning. More to come!!

Header notes:
RPR = "Roland Physicality Rating" (in development)
Plays = Physicality Plays (adjusted by level of force)
Wins = a Physicality play that is deemed a 'win'
L = Losses (non-intentional fouls and soft plays)
L2+ = level 2 or high force physicality plays
Falls = player hits the ground
KD = Knockdowns: causes opponent to hit the ground
Net Pts = 'results over process' calculation

NEW YORK KNICKS

Player
RPR*
Plays
Wins
L
L2+
Falls
KD
Anunoby
Hart
Towns
Brunson
Bridges
Robinson
Payne
McBride
64.0
60.8
47.0
40.2
26.0
24.8
9.8
7.8
48
57
54
41
26
23
5
11
26
24
18
18
13
9
5
4
2
4
5
6
5
0
1
2
1
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
7
0
8
2
3
1
1
4
3
6
2
0
2
0
0

...NEW YORK KNICKS "physicality suffered"

Player
xRPR*
Plays
Agn
Wins
Agn
L2+
Agn
Anunoby
Hart
Towns
Brunson
Bridges
Robinson
Payne
McBride
61.5
63.0
60.8
78.8
49.0
36.5
13.2
21.0
46
46
63
59
36
28
11
14
24
24
22
28
19
14
5
8
0
0
1
4
1
0
0
1

Analysis:

  • Jalen Brunson absorbed a game high again for physicality suffered (28 wins against, 78.8 xRPR), and had a slow first half (7 wins, 4 losses)...but showed up when it mattered, tilting the game to a second Knicks win.

  • OG Anunoby is often the quiet Knick, but led this game in RPR, so kept the physicality high.

  • KAT had a strong physicality first half (14 wins to go with a double double 14 pts, 10 rebs in the box score), but was much quieter in the second half (4 wins).

BOSTON CELTICS

Player
RPR*
Plays
Wins
L
L2+
Falls
KD
Brown
Horford
Tatum
Holiday
White
Pritchard
Kornet
Porzingis
68.2
66.0
52.0
51.5
44.0
26.5
23.0
21.0
67
52
38
42
30
24
20
30
26
27
22
22
18
11
9
9
2
5
3
3
2
1
1
4
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
2
5
2
2
0
2
0
3
9
4
1
5
0
3
1

...BOSTON CELTICS "physicality suffered"

Player
xRPR*
Plays
Agn
Wins
Agn
L2+
Agn
Brown
Horford
Tatum
Holiday
White
Pritchard
Kornet
Porzingis
67.5
39.8
62.2
37.5
34.5
24.8
20.2
31.2
62
31
43
30
34
19
21
25
24
14
24
14
12
10
7
12
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
1

Analysis:

  • Jaylen Brown had an incredible first half (52 RPR, 21 physicality wins with box score 17 pts, 6 rebs, 2 stls), turning the tide by taking on the KAT matchup after Towns had dominated Horford. However he disappeared in the second half (just 5 wins, with 1-7 fg, 4 t/o and a bunch of zeroes for rebs, ast, stl, blk). What happened?? Was he physically exhausted?

  • Al Horford looks like a strong game on paper (27 wins, 9 knockdowns) but this overlooks the sequence in the early Q2 where KAT crushed him with back to back and-one postups, followed by a drive right past him for a layup. A lot of his wins came on screens for open shots that missed.

  • Jayson Tatum a second straight game where his physicality was better in the second half, but the Knicks showing strength at being physical back on his drives and absorbing contact effectively (shown clearly on the last possesion of the game).



Signature Physicality Moments

  • Q1 (4:43) Brown skies for dunk Brunson takes the hit
    Following a defensive play where Brown arguably got away with a foul on Bridges he takes the fastbreak at Brunson. Both fall...offensive foul!

  • Q1 (2:24) Porzingis not ready in first moments
    Checking into the game for the first time, KP doesn't take advantage of a Pritchard cross screen, staggers on an OG bump, and then when he finally gets it in the post has lost track of the shot clock...24 seconds

  • Q2 (9:39) KAT dominates Horford for the third straight time
    After two straight postups where KAT overwhelms Horford for consecutive and-ones, Al pushes the catch out behind the 3-pt line, but KAT faces up drives right past for too easy layup. Celtics shortly thereafter move Brown onto guarding KAT, and Jaylen does a much better job.

  • Q2 (4:35) Jaylen Brown doing it all
    In the previous sequence Brown generated a steal, grabbed a contested offensive rebound, and then knocked down an open three. He follows it up with a hard drive at Hart for the and-one.

  • Q2 (:15) Knicks get physical with score and knockdowns
    White deters Brunson but then Towns sets a physical postup on Tatum and on catch sends Tatum to the floor, leaving the dish for open Hart cut to go into the half with physical momentum. For good measure Hart knocks Kornet to floor with his legs.

  • Q3 (6:44) Derrick White fearless against Anunoby dunk
    After a crazy Tatum drive where it looks like he got fouled by two guys, OG goes the other way and soars for full force FB dunk over White... who calmly takes OG's knee in his chest for the charge on a level 3 collision that leaves both players dazed on the floor.

  • Q4 (10:25) Bridges is awakened and unleashes fury
    Mikal gets banged dribbling by Tatum, no call and is visibly upset with refs as the Celtics runout for an open 3pt fastbreak make... and an angry Bridges, who subsequently begins his offensive assault (14 Q4 points scored).

  • Q4 (9:40) Hart with the eraser!
    After a terrible careless inbound turnover Hart blocks Horford's shot at the rim and OG gets on the floor for the rebound -- a turning point.

  • Q4 (1:59) Brunson clears space for the go ahead bucket
    Down one Jrue all over Brunson until Jalenhits him in the chest to clear space for the midrange clutch jump shot.

  • Q4 (:56) Brunson delivers another clutch score
    Brunson 1on3 FB drives past Horford falls, makes! BOSTON no effort to go 5on4 in response.

  • Q4 (:18) Tatum with the thundering dunk to take the lead
    Horford screens OG and Tatum with head of steam blows past Robinson for the dunk.

  • Q4 (:12) crafty Brunson outplays Holiday
    Jrue overly physical could have been called for a foul before the foul, and Brunson sagely gets the no doubt contact so the refs *have* to call it.

  • Q4 (:02) Bridges with the closing decisive defensive play again
    OG grabbing Horford while sliding with Tatum commits to Tatum and Bridges arrives to double and intercept pass -- game over!


Final Take

"Celtics Win the Brawl, Lose the War (Again)"

Boston has now won the physicality metrics in both games, but trails 0-2 after the horrendous three point shooting continues. Game 2 was not a collapse by Boston's effort (Jaylen Brown the exception) -- it was more about execution after gaining physical advantages. They are now 12-48 on 'wide open' threes (25% vs regular season 40%) and 12-48 on 'open' threes (25% vs 35%) in the series.

"New York's Contact Economy: Maximum Value for Minimum Damage Absorbed"

Fewer total physicality wins, but still closing games. Their best players (Brunson, Hart) are handling and fighting through the contact more efficiently at key moments.



Also see:
- 2024 NBA Playoffs "Physicality" ratings
- NBA Playoff "Physicality" -- Now vs Then
- Full Player "Physicality" data table