NBA Player Shot Zones
One of the more interesting things we hope to learn from our mega charting endeavor for the upcoming 2005-06 season is what the average points per possession looks like from different spots on the floor. For now we don't have details on where fouls or turnovers occur, which hinders this effort, but we do know where the shots themselves are taken from!
The first question is how many zones do you want use and what layouts they represent. While we have various schemes at 82games we look at, a good place to start is with a "16 zone" plan.
Zone Breakdowns:
Zones 1 to 5 - the three point zones
Zones 6 to 10 - the "outside the paint" two point zones
Zones 11 to 14 - in the paint
Zone 15 - at the rim layups
Zone 16 - dunks
Another scheme we often use is an 8-zone layout where the 'mirror images' are combined, eg zones 1+5 = baseline 3's. 6+10 = baseline 2's, etc.
For this article we're going to look at the leading individual players by zone
Zone 1: Left corner three-pointers
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
SA |
Bowen |
49 |
108 |
.454 |
TOR |
Peterson |
38 |
93 |
.409 |
PHO |
Johnson |
38 |
81 |
.481 |
PHI |
Korver |
34 |
77 |
.442 |
MIA |
E.Jones |
29 |
69 |
.420 |
Most accurate (Min 30 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
GS |
Dunleavy |
20 |
35 |
.571 |
TOR |
Marshall |
36 |
69 |
.522 |
SEA |
Lewis |
31 |
62 |
.500 |
MIA |
D.Jones |
17 |
34 |
.500 |
PHO |
Johnson |
39 |
81 |
.481 |
|
Zone 5: Right corner three-pointers
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
PHO |
Johnson |
46 |
90 |
.511 |
TOR |
Marshall |
38 |
90 |
.422 |
SA |
Bowen |
34 |
89 |
.382 |
HOU |
Wesley |
27 |
60 |
.450 |
NY |
Crawford |
27 |
59 |
.458 |
Most accurate (Min 30 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
SAC |
Mobley |
18 |
30 |
.600 |
SAC |
Stojakovic |
19 |
33 |
.576 |
BOS |
Davis |
19 |
33 |
.576 |
MIA |
D.Jones |
26 |
49 |
.531 |
MEM |
Miller |
17 |
33 |
.515 |
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Some guys earn a nice living by hanging out in the corners and waiting for a pass to set them up with a catch-and-shoot three. Bruce Bowen, Joe Johnson and Donyell Marshall all basically ranked in the top five for attempts from both the left and right corner, and the shooting percentages were definitely impressive in many cases. The question is can these guys survive without other big time offensive weapons drawing a defense's attention? We will see how many good corner looks Joe Johnson gets in Atlanta as opposed to feasting of the Nash/Stoudemire leftovers in Phoenix.
Zone 2: Left wing three-pointers
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
SEA |
Allen |
95 |
237 |
.401 |
MIA |
D.Jones |
76 |
195 |
.390 |
PHO |
Richardson |
76 |
191 |
.398 |
PHI |
Korver |
74 |
181 |
.409 |
PHI |
Iverson |
53 |
170 |
.312 |
Most accurate (Min 50 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
DAL |
Terry |
35 |
69 |
.507 |
NY |
T.Thomas |
26 |
53 |
.491 |
HOU |
Barry |
25 |
51 |
.490 |
MEM |
Miller |
56 |
116 |
.483 |
PHO |
Johnson |
39 |
81 |
.481 |
|
Zone 4: Right wing three-pointers
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
PHO |
Richardson |
95 |
254 |
.374 |
WAS |
Arenas |
81 |
212 |
.382 |
NY |
Crawfored |
68 |
183 |
.372 |
POR |
Stoudamire |
76 |
180 |
.422 |
PHI |
Korver |
69 |
163 |
.423 |
Most accurate (Min 50 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
HOU |
Sura |
27 |
54 |
.500 |
MIA |
D.Jones |
69 |
148 |
.466 |
GS |
B.Davis |
39 |
85 |
.459 |
CHI |
Gordon |
42 |
92 |
.457 |
SAC |
Mobley |
37 |
81 |
.457 |
|
The wing three's are the most common three point shots (60% of three's come from zones 2&4 as opposed to 22% for the baseline three-point zones and 17% for the straightaway zone 3). That's not to say they are always good shots, as Mr. Iverson's zone two exploits point out! Q-Richardson cracks both the right side and left side most attempts leaderboards, but again it will be interesting to see how he performs without Nash, Stoudemire and Marion drawing more attention from the defense.
Straightaway 3's -- Zone 3
|
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
HOU |
McGrady |
53 |
145 |
.366 |
WAS |
Arenas |
47 |
131 |
.359 |
POR |
Stoudamire |
42 |
118 |
.356 |
PHO |
Richardson |
30 |
96 |
.313 |
TOR |
Alston |
33 |
90 |
.367 |
Most accurate (Min 30 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
LAL |
Cook |
27 |
53 |
.509 |
GS |
Murphy |
26 |
52 |
.500 |
ORL |
Turkoglu |
23 |
46 |
.500 |
DET |
Billups |
38 |
78 |
.487 |
DAL |
Finley |
24 |
51 |
.471 |
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McGrady often likes to begin a play with the ball at the straightaway three-pointer zone -- giving him the triple threat option to pull up for the three, or drive left, or right to the basket.
Despite having the straight on look at the basket, this was only tied for the second best three point zone. The order of shooting accuracy on a league wide basis goes zone 5 (right corner), then zone 1 (left corner) and 3 (straightaway), with a significant drop off to zone 4 (right wing) and then zone 3 (left wing).
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Zone 6: Left baseline two-pointers
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
NY |
K.Thomas |
74 |
173 |
.428 |
DET |
R.Wallace |
61 |
147 |
.415 |
MIN |
Garnett |
65 |
141 |
.461 |
MIL |
Mason |
54 |
141 |
.383 |
LAC |
Simmons |
64 |
138 |
.464 |
Most accurate (Min 40 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
IND |
Miller |
27 |
42 |
.643 |
UTA |
Bell |
30 |
52 |
.577 |
MIN |
Hassell |
34 |
63 |
.540 |
BOS |
Blount |
34 |
63 |
.540 |
MIN |
Szczerbiak |
40 |
77 |
.519 |
|
Zone 10: Right baseline two-pointers
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
TOR |
Rose |
83 |
165 |
.503 |
TOR |
Bosh |
62 |
138 |
.449 |
NY |
K.Thomas |
69 |
129 |
.535 |
CLE |
James |
44 |
128 |
.344 |
DAL |
Nowitzki |
63 |
122 |
.516 |
Most accurate (Min 40 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
DAL |
Terry |
27 |
45 |
.600 |
CHI |
Harrington |
27 |
50 |
.540 |
NY |
K.Thomas |
69 |
129 |
.535 |
DEN |
Miller |
23 |
43 |
.535 |
ATL |
Drobnjak |
24 |
46 |
.522 |
|
Kurt Thomas shoots more baseline two's than anyone, and particularly from the right side he is very adept at making the shot. He should find many more good baseline opportunities in Phoenix. Toronto seemed to run a lot of plays last year that wound up with Bosh and Rose taking a right baseline J. Minnesota likewise may have had an over-reliance perhaps on the mid range jumpers at the expense of more three's and inside looks. Whereas Bruce Bowen sits behind the three point line, Hassell sits in front of it for his token offensive contributions.
Zone 7: Left wing two-pointers
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
HOU |
McGrady |
93 |
219 |
.425 |
PHI |
Iverson |
78 |
206 |
.379 |
SAC |
Bibby |
70 |
180 |
.389 |
MIN |
Cassell |
87 |
167 |
.521 |
MIA |
Wade |
67 |
155 |
.432 |
Most accurate (Min 50 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
TOR |
Bonner |
32 |
53 |
.604 |
BOS |
Blount |
31 |
54 |
.574 |
PHO |
Nash |
43 |
75 |
.573 |
PHI |
Thomas |
37 |
68 |
.544 |
MIN |
Garnett |
66 |
123 |
.537 |
|
Zone 9: Right wing two-pointers
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
DAL |
Nowitzki |
139 |
328 |
.424 |
ORL |
Francis |
75 |
205 |
.366 |
MIL |
Redd |
89 |
204 |
.436 |
DEN |
Anthony |
62 |
186 |
.333 |
HOU |
McGrady |
72 |
179 |
.402 |
Most accurate (Min 50 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
PHO |
Nash |
59 |
106 |
.557 |
IND |
Miller |
50 |
92 |
.543 |
UTA |
Eisley |
33 |
62 |
.533 |
MIN |
Szczerbiak |
50 |
95 |
.526 |
CHA |
Hart |
41 |
79 |
.519 |
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Steve Nash ranks #3 in accuracy on the left wing two-pointers, #1 in accuracy on the right side ones. He's not too shabby either on the straightaway two's as we will see in a moment. Meanwhile his old teammate Dirk Nowitzki lives on the right side, taking a vastly higher number of shots from zone nine than anyone else in the league.
And yes, Minnesota has some great mid-range shooters, but when we get to correlating team shot selection by zone to wins and efficiency (in the next article) we'll have some comments to make about that...
Straightaway two-pointers -- Zone 8
|
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
MIN |
Garnett |
74 |
161 |
.460 |
PHI |
Iverson |
57 |
154 |
.370 |
SAC |
Webber |
63 |
149 |
.423 |
HOU |
McGrady |
67 |
146 |
.459 |
ORL |
Francis |
59 |
142 |
.415 |
Most accurate (Min 50 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
MIL |
Williams |
56 |
92 |
.609 |
PHO |
Nash |
55 |
96 |
.573 |
NO |
Brown |
42 |
75 |
.560 |
DAL |
Terry |
31 |
59 |
.525 |
UTA |
Bell |
33 |
63 |
.524 |
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Steve Nash was amazing from zones 7, 8, and 9. Locations on the court from which the league as a whole shot .389, .412, and .386 respectively saw Nash fire .573, .573, .557 -- best midrange shooter period. Now partly it's because he can create a good look by his omnipresent threat to drive or deliver a dazzling pass.
Kudos to PJ Brown for knocking down the above the free throw line jumpers. Let's hope the year in Oklahoma City brings more team success to the Hornets and this "ultimate pro" especially.
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Zone 11: Left side "high" in the paint shots
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
LAC |
Brand |
44 |
91 |
.484 |
MIN |
Garnett |
36 |
79 |
.456 |
HOU |
Ming |
25 |
65 |
.385 |
SA |
Duncan |
19 |
64 |
.297 |
PHI |
Iverson |
26 |
64 |
.406 |
Most accurate (Min 30 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
ORL |
Hill |
29 |
49 |
.592 |
TOR |
Bosh |
23 |
39 |
.590 |
SEA |
Allen |
25 |
44 |
.568 |
MIN |
Szczerbiak |
21 |
40 |
.525 |
DEN |
Boykins |
23 |
45 |
.511 |
|
Zone 12: Right side "high" in the paint shots
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
LAC |
Brand |
24 |
64 |
.375 |
MIN |
Garnett |
27 |
59 |
.458 |
DAL |
Nowtizki |
25 |
57 |
.439 |
DET |
Hamilton |
21 |
55 |
.382 |
CLE |
McInnis |
26 |
51 |
.510 |
Most accurate (Min 30 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
PHO |
Stoudemire |
23 |
45 |
.511 |
CLE |
McInnis |
26 |
51 |
.510 |
BOS |
Pierce |
15 |
30 |
.500 |
IND |
O'Neal |
19 |
40 |
.475 |
SA |
Parker |
14 |
30 |
.467 |
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While you might expect that shots closer to the basket would show a higher average field goal percentage, that's not entirely true. Certainly when you are at point blank range the FG% skyrockets, but high in the paint shots are actually low percentage -- .366 for zone 11 and .353 for zone 12. You won't be open from that location often, and frequently you'll have to contend with help defenders reaching in for the steal or even double teaming on contesting the shot! Zones 11 and 12 are arguably NBA "no man's land" for shot attempts.
Zone 13: Left block in the paint shots
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
MIA |
O'Neal |
62 |
149 |
.416 |
SA |
Duncan |
54 |
127 |
.425 |
MIN |
Garnett |
49 |
120 |
.408 |
LAC |
Brand |
46 |
113 |
.407 |
CHA |
Ely |
45 |
110 |
.409 |
Most accurate (Min 30 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
LAC |
Rebraca |
29 |
36 |
.806 |
DET |
McDyess |
23 |
38 |
.605 |
CHI |
Harrington |
17 |
31 |
.548 |
MIN |
Olowokandi |
25 |
47 |
.532 |
DET |
Prince |
28 |
55 |
.509 |
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Zone 14: Right block in the paint shots
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
MIA |
O'Neal |
53 |
125 |
.424 |
CHI |
Curry |
41 |
112 |
.366 |
HOU |
Ming |
45 |
91 |
.495 |
PHO |
Stoudemire |
23 |
87 |
.264 |
SA |
Duncan |
43 |
87 |
.494 |
Most accurate (Min 30 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
MIN |
Szczerbiak |
18 |
31 |
.581 |
PHO |
Johnson |
27 |
49 |
.551 |
TOR |
Rose |
34 |
66 |
.515 |
BOS |
Blount |
17 |
34 |
.500 |
DAL |
Daniels |
16 |
32 |
.500 |
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There's a key note on these numbers -- we have separate breakouts for Dunks and 'at the rim' layups, which means the zone 13 and zone 14 shots are the ones which came short of point blank range and usually are heavily contested. If you include layups, dunks and the low block shots together, it's high percentage territory, but the non point blank close shots are surprisingly hard to hit in the NBA. Even the mighty Shaq can be constrained if you can get him to shoot a little ways away from the basket.
Zone 15: at the rim layups
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
PHI |
Iverson |
313 |
539 |
.581 |
MIA |
Wade |
256 |
481 |
.532 |
SA |
Parker |
297 |
457 |
.650 |
NY |
Marbury |
265 |
432 |
.613 |
CLE |
James |
258 |
410 |
.629 |
Most accurate (Min 125 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
ORL |
Hill |
163 |
219 |
.744 |
MIN |
Szczerbiak |
132 |
185 |
.714 |
BOS |
Blount |
100 |
140 |
.714 |
DEN |
Miller |
207 |
292 |
.709 |
SEA |
Daniels |
95 |
134 |
.709 |
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Zone 16: Dunks
Most attempts
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
MIA |
O'Neal |
258 |
273 |
.945 |
PHO |
Stoudemire |
238 |
261 |
.912 |
DEN |
Martin |
166 |
180 |
.922 |
ORL |
Howard |
161 |
172 |
.936 |
PHO |
Marion |
143 |
152 |
.941 |
Most accurate (Min 50 Att)
Tm |
Player |
FGM |
FGA |
FG% |
CLE |
James |
128 |
130 |
.985 |
BOS |
Davis |
59 |
60 |
.983 |
UTA |
Boozer |
54 |
55 |
.982 |
LAC |
Brand |
73 |
75 |
.975 |
DEN |
Johnson |
61 |
63 |
.968 |
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These are the glamour zones -- the players who can get to the rim for layups and dunks are generally going to be your superstars: Iverson, LeBron, Wade, Shaq, Stoudemire. Let's not overlook the guys who may not get there as often but can finish when they do, like Grant Hill and his league leading zone 15 percentage.
If you add the at the rim layups and dunk attempts together, the league leaders are:
1. Shaq
2. Stoudemire
3. Wade
4. Iverson
5. LeBron
6. Parker
7. Anthony
8. Marion
9. Marbury
10. J-Rich
Who will climb into the top ten (and higher) for 05-06? We'd guess that Dwight Howard (#13 in at the rim FGA last year) will make some big noise inside!
The follow up article to this will look at team based shooting by zones and the relationship to winning.
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